The age-specific fertility curves normalized by total fertility can be considered as the density of the age at childbearing distribution. Generally the shape of age specific fertility rate changes from convex to concave after it reaches its maximum value. Proportion bearing children before age 35 may be interpreted as tempo of fertility and rest may be interpreted as excess fertility, which is risky for mother as well as child both. Thus, the purpose of this study is to observe the pattern of fertility over time and space keeping the above idea into consideration. To experience the modest change in fertility, the estimated total fertility rate, are computed for the data through simple mathematical model. For this purpose the secondary data on age-specific fertility rate and its forward and backward cumulative distributions have been considered. Also the validity of proposed models has been checked through appropriate technique.
| Published in | American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics (Volume 4, Issue 2) |
| DOI | 10.11648/j.ajtas.20150402.14 |
| Page(s) | 64-70 |
| Creative Commons |
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited. |
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Copyright © The Author(s), 2015. Published by Science Publishing Group |
Age specific fertility rate, Mathematical Model, Polynomial Curve, Cross Validity Prediction Power, Shrinkage
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APA Style
Brijesh P. Singh, Kushagra Gupta, K. K. Singh. (2015). Analysis of Fertility Pattern Through Mathematical Curves. American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics, 4(2), 64-70. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajtas.20150402.14
ACS Style
Brijesh P. Singh; Kushagra Gupta; K. K. Singh. Analysis of Fertility Pattern Through Mathematical Curves. Am. J. Theor. Appl. Stat. 2015, 4(2), 64-70. doi: 10.11648/j.ajtas.20150402.14
AMA Style
Brijesh P. Singh, Kushagra Gupta, K. K. Singh. Analysis of Fertility Pattern Through Mathematical Curves. Am J Theor Appl Stat. 2015;4(2):64-70. doi: 10.11648/j.ajtas.20150402.14
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Download@article{10.11648/j.ajtas.20150402.14,
author = {Brijesh P. Singh and Kushagra Gupta and K. K. Singh},
title = {Analysis of Fertility Pattern Through Mathematical Curves},
journal = {American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics},
volume = {4},
number = {2},
pages = {64-70},
doi = {10.11648/j.ajtas.20150402.14},
url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajtas.20150402.14},
eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ajtas.20150402.14},
abstract = {The age-specific fertility curves normalized by total fertility can be considered as the density of the age at childbearing distribution. Generally the shape of age specific fertility rate changes from convex to concave after it reaches its maximum value. Proportion bearing children before age 35 may be interpreted as tempo of fertility and rest may be interpreted as excess fertility, which is risky for mother as well as child both. Thus, the purpose of this study is to observe the pattern of fertility over time and space keeping the above idea into consideration. To experience the modest change in fertility, the estimated total fertility rate, are computed for the data through simple mathematical model. For this purpose the secondary data on age-specific fertility rate and its forward and backward cumulative distributions have been considered. Also the validity of proposed models has been checked through appropriate technique.},
year = {2015}
}
TY - JOUR T1 - Analysis of Fertility Pattern Through Mathematical Curves AU - Brijesh P. Singh AU - Kushagra Gupta AU - K. K. Singh Y1 - 2015/03/21 PY - 2015 N1 - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajtas.20150402.14 DO - 10.11648/j.ajtas.20150402.14 T2 - American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics JF - American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics JO - American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics SP - 64 EP - 70 PB - Science Publishing Group SN - 2326-9006 UR - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajtas.20150402.14 AB - The age-specific fertility curves normalized by total fertility can be considered as the density of the age at childbearing distribution. Generally the shape of age specific fertility rate changes from convex to concave after it reaches its maximum value. Proportion bearing children before age 35 may be interpreted as tempo of fertility and rest may be interpreted as excess fertility, which is risky for mother as well as child both. Thus, the purpose of this study is to observe the pattern of fertility over time and space keeping the above idea into consideration. To experience the modest change in fertility, the estimated total fertility rate, are computed for the data through simple mathematical model. For this purpose the secondary data on age-specific fertility rate and its forward and backward cumulative distributions have been considered. Also the validity of proposed models has been checked through appropriate technique. VL - 4 IS - 2 ER -
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